Oral Presentations
ORAL PRESENTATIONS
(Note: The Presenter of each paper/poster is in BOLD type immediately following the paper title.
Co-authors are then listed in parentheses. Also: All session abstracts can be accessed using the Session Title link.)
Student Presenter Competition
Through the “Outstanding Student Presentation Award,” AWRA recognizes exceptional student contributions to this Conference. Significance and originality of the material will be fundamental in evaluating the student presentations, which will be judged by the session attendees. The winner will have their photo and bio in an upcoming issue of Water Resources IMPACT
and on the AWRA website.
Conference Opening Plenary Session
Monday / April 18 / 8:30 AM 10:00 AM Welcome and Opening Remarks
Michael E. Campana
President, American Water Resources Association
Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
C. Mark Dunning
Conference General Chair
CDM, Palmyra, VA
Keynote Speaker
Steven L. Stockton, P.E.
Director of Civil Works, Headquarters, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC
"Challenges and Opportunities of Managing Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources"
Monday / April 18 / 10:30 AM 12:00 Noon
Special Plenary Session Plenary Panel: Federal, State, Local, and Industry Perspectives
Panel Moderator: Gerald E. Galloway
University of Maryland, College Park, MD
Panelists
Jeff Peterson, White House Council on Environmental Quality, Washington, DC
Casey Brown, Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA
Zoe Johnson, Department of Natural Resources, Office for a Sustainable Future, Annapolis, MD
Paul Fleming, Climate and Sustainability Group, Seattle Public Utilities, Seattle, WA.
The Plenary Panel Session brings together federal, state, local and private sector leaders to provide their perspectives on the challenges and opportunities their sectors need to address relative to for managing our nations water resources during times of great changes and high uncertainty. The panelists will describe some of the leading work underway in their sectors. In addition, they will provide their insights on how the various sectors can work together to help address the myriad of climate change opportunities and challenges posed by climate change facing our nation. Based on their experience, Jeff Peterson (federal), Zoe Johnson (state), Paul Fleming (local) and Casey Brown (academia) will each provide an overview of the challenges and opportunities facing their individual sectors and insights on how their sector is attempting to address them. Finally, they will provide their vision of how their sector can collaborate with other sectors to develop synergies relative to adapting and managing our nation’s water resources in the future.
Federal Planning for Climate Change Adaptation - Jeff Peterson
Preparing our Nation for the impacts of climate change requires the collective efforts and collaboration of people and institutions across the country, and the collective resources and ideas of partners throughout the world. Many steps are already being taken to improve our understanding of climate change, increase our capacity to anticipate and prepare for adverse impacts, and reduce man-made factors that contribute to climate change. Recognizing the urgency of adaptation and the important role of the Federal Government in reducing the Nation’s vulnerability to climate change, President Obama signed an Executive Order in October 2009 that required the Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force to assess what the Federal Government is doing to adapt to climate change and to provide recommendations for additional actions to support a national adaptation strategy. A summary of recommendations and ongoing actions will be discussed with special attention to freshwater resources.
Decision-Scaling and Robust Adaptation in Water Resources Planning – Casey Brown. The projected impacts of climate change have extraordinary implications for many water resource systems. However, there is lack of an accepted framework for incorporating climate information, with its inherent uncertainties and limitations, into the decision making and policy processes of most institutions. We describe a decision analysis framework for the use of uncertain climate information for planning in water resources systems. The approach is applied for climate risk assessment and for the design of robust adaptation.
Planning for Climate Change at the State-Level Zoλ Johnson
Under the leadership of Governor Martin OMalley, the Maryland Commission on Climate Change has developed two climate change adaptation strategies that are currently being used to guide state-level planning efforts. The first strategy, released in 2008, addressed the serious impacts associated with sea level rise and coastal storms. The second strategy, released in early 2011, addressed changes in precipitation patterns and increased temperature and the likely impacts to water resources, human health, agriculture, built-infrastructure, and bay, aquatic, forest and terrestrial ecosystems. The presentation will provide an overview of Marylands adaptation planning process and highlight the status of efforts to implement key adaptation strategies for water and natural resource management.
Assessing and Preparing for the Impacts of Climate Change: Adaptation in the Water Utility Sector – Paul Fleming
This presentation will provide an overview of some of the initiatives within the water utility sector to enhance the sector’s capacity to assess and adapt to the impacts of climate change. In addition, it will highlight the climate change program of Seattle Public Utilities, which is the drinking water provider for the greater Seattle area, as well as the drainage and wastewater utility for the city. SPU’s climate program is focused on water supply, urban drainage and sea level rise adaptation, in addition to GHG mitigation.
Monday / April 18 / 1:30 PM 3:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 1, 2, 3 Panel Moderator: Gerald E. Galloway
University of Maryland, College Park, MD
Panelists
Kathy Jacobs (Invited), Office of Science and Technology Policy, Washington, DC
Matthew Larsen, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA
Thomas Karl, NOAA Climate Service, Washington, DC
Thomas Armstrong, The U.S. Department of the Interior, Washington, DC
Federal Agencies are working to understand and respond to the effects of climate change. All Agencies have been asked to evaluate the implications of climate change on their missions, and to develop strategies to ensure they remain effective in light of a changing climate. In addition, several Agencies are working to ensure that State, local, tribal and private sector decision makers in all sectors have the information and tools they need to make informed decisions. This panel will highlight some of the key initiatives underway to prepare for a changing climate.
The Integrated National Climate Assessment - Kathy Jacobs
The National Climate Assessment (NCA) is a Congressionally mandated study being conducted by the U.S. Global Change Research Program. Its goal is to analyze the effects of global change in the U.S., including trends for the next 25 to 100 years in order to provide the scientific underpinnings of informed policy and decision making. This discussion will examine the third such assessment, now underway.
Toward a Collaborative Water Strategy for Climate Change Adaptation: Federal Agencies Working Together -
Matt Larsen, USGS
When President Obama directed the federal agencies to form an Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force, several workgroups were formed to examine particular issues in depth. One was the Water Workgroup, co-chaired by the Department of Interior's USGS, the US EPA, and the White House Council on Environmental Quality. The Water Workgroup evaluated a range of climate change and water resources adaptation challenges and developed recommendations that were included in the Progress Report of the Task Force released in October. This presentation will describe the work underway for building national capacity and resilience in the water sector.
NOAA Climate Service - Thomas Karl
Individuals and decision-makers across widely diverse sectors – from agriculture to energy to transportation – are increasingly asking for authoritative and timely information about climate change in order to make the best choices for their families, communities and businesses. To meet the rising tide of these requests, NOAA and the other agencies of the US Global Change Research Program have been working to strengthen and integrate climate science and service delivery capabilities. This discussion will give participants a chance to understand NOAA and interagency plans to provide improved climate services.
DOI Landscape Conservation Cooperatives and Climate Science Center- Thomas Armstrong
The Department of the Interior is establishing Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCCs) and Climate Science Centers (CSCs) to address current and future impacts of climate change on our land, water, wildlife, cultural heritage and tribal resources. The regional CSCs and their partnership networks will provide science to understand which resources are most vulnerable to climate change. The LCCs are intended to engage federal agencies, local and state partners, and the public in crafting practical, landscape-level strategies for managing climate change impacts on natural resources. This presentation will provide a birds-eye view of progress in establishing these regional centers and discuss opportunities for local engagement.
Climate Ready Estuaries (CRE): A Discussion of the Lessons Learned and the Tools Developed During the First Three Years of this Program for Coastal Communities Michael Craghan, U.S. EPA Office of Wetlands, Oceans and Watersheds, Washington, DC
Strategic Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise: Pulsed Reservoir Releases to Mitigate Salinity Intrusion - Paul Conrads, U.S.Geological Survey, Columbia, SC (co-author: James M. Greenfield)
Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Impacts on South Florida Water Resources - Kim Shugar, South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach , FL
Working Toward a Sustainable Louisiana Coast By Reconnecting the Mississippi River to the Coastal Wetlands - Clinton Willson, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA (co-author: Jeffrey A. Carney)
The Effect of Climate Change on Nitrogen and Phosphorus Loadings in New York City Water Supply Watersheds. - Soni M. Pradhanang, CUNY Institute for Sustainable Cities, Kingston, NY (co-authors: Elliot M. Schneiderman, Rajith Mukundan, Aavudai Anandhi, Mark Zion, Donald Pierson, Adao Matonse, Yongtai Huang, Nihar R. Samal, Guoping Tang, Tammo Steenhuis)
Lake and Reservoir Water Quality Impairment Vulnerability with Climate Change - Ann Shortelle, MACTEC Engineering and Consulting, Inc., Newberry, FL
Impact of Climate Change on Microbial Water Quality: A Case Study - Donald Morehead, Environmental Engineering Program, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH (co-authors: Matthew A. Morrison, Orin C. Shanks)
Monday / April 18 / 3:30 PM 5:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 4, 5, 6 NASA's Program in Climate Change Impacts - Bradley Doorn, NASA, Washington, DC (co-authors: David Toll, Ted Engman)
Climate Change Adaptation in EPA's National Water Program - Karen Metchis, U.S. EPA, Washington, DC
Climate Change Adaptation on Forested Watersheds - David Cleaves, USDA Forest Service, Washington, DC
Modeling the Operational and Water User Response to Potential Climate Change - Steven Thurin, HDR Engineering, Bellevue, WA (co-authors: Theodore Shannon, Chris Lynch, David Minner)
The Impact of Climate on Water Supplies for U.S. Army Installations - Elisabeth Jenicek, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Champaign, IL (co-author: William D. Goran)
Incorporating Climate Change into Long-Range Water Supply Planning Using Scenario Analysis and Stochastic Programming - Paul Kirshen, Battelle, Lexington MA (co-authors: Patrick Ray, David Watkins)
Quantifying the Impacts of Climate Change in Water Supply Planning for a Snowpack-Driven Watershed - Timothy J. Cox, CDM, Hamilton, New Zealand (co-author: Enrique Lopez Calva
The Air/Water Temperature Relationship in Headwater Watersheds - Implications for Climate Change and Persistence of Brook Trout - Charles Dolloff, USDA Forest Service Southern Research Station, Blacksburg, VA (co-authors: B. Trumbo, E. P. Smith, M. Hudy, B. A. Wiggins, D. Evans, C. N Roghair )
Vulnerability and Impacts of Climatic Change on Cisco Fish Habitat in Minnesota Lakes - Xing Fang, Auburn University, Auburn, AL (co-authors: Heinz G. Stefan, Liping Jiang, Shoeb R. Alam, Peter C. Jacobson, Donald L. Pereira)
Linking Climate Change, Lake Ecosystem Health, and Better Watershed Management in New York State - Amy Hetherington, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY (co-authors: Rebecca Schneider, Lars Rudstam, M. Todd Walter)
Challenges of Assessing Ecological Impacts of Climate Change in Large Basin Planning Studies Using the Colorado River Basin as an Example - Alan Butler, CADSWES-University of Colorado/ Bureau of Reclamation, Boulder, CO (co-author: Edith Zagona)
Tuesday / April 19 / 8:30 AM 10:00 AM
Concurrent Sessions 7, 8, 9, 10 US DOE Efforts to Manage the Energy-Water-Climate Nexus - Craig Zamuda, Senior Policy Advisor,
Office of Climate Change Policy and Technology, Office of Policy and International Affairs, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC
Integrated Energy-Water Planning for the U.S. Vincent Tidwell, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM (co-authors: Len Malczynski, Peter Kobos, Geoff Klise)
Water Consumption Impacts of Renewable Technologies: The Case of CSP Jordan Macknick, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO (co-authors: Robin Newmark, Craig Turchi)
Shale Gas- The Energy-Water Nexus Christopher Harto, Argonne National Laboratory, Washington, DC.
Great Lakes Outflow Regulation and the Consideration of Uncertain Hydrologic Futures - Anthony Eberhardt, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Alexandria, VA
Climate Ready Water Utilities: (CRWU) An Interactive Overview of the Resources and Demonstration of the Tools Available Through the CRWU Program So That Session Participants Will Be Able to More Easily Access and Use These Tools and Resources to Increase Their Climate Readiness - John Whitler, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC
Investigations of Ecological Change and Water Resources Along Elevational Gradients in Arid Environments for the Nevada NSF Epscor Infrastructure for Climate Change Science, Education, and Outreach Project - Laurel Saito, University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV (co-authors: Franco Biondi, Lynn Fenstermaker, John Arnone, Dale Devitt, Brett Riddle, Michael Young, Brian Bird, David Charlet, Brad Lyles, Scotty Strachan)
Impact of Natural Climate Variability on Floods and Droughts - John F. Henz, C.C.M., Dewberry, Aurora, CO
Sustainable Stormwater Management: Balancing the Dynamic Environmental, Economic, and Social Challenges within the Barrier Island Community of Miami Beach - Fernando Vazquez, City of Miami Beach, Miami Beach, FL (co-authors: Elizabeth Wheaton, Lisa Botero, Richard Saltrick, Jose Maria Guzman, Michael F. Schmidt)
Realistic Watershed and Stormwater Management Options for Coastal Communities in the Face of Climate Change - Deb Caraco, Center for Watershed Protection, Ellicott City, MD (co-authors: Sadie Drescher, Neely Law, Dave Hirschman)
Storm Sewer Infrastructure Planning with Climate Change Risk: A Case Study from Alexandria, Virginia - Laurens van der Tak, CH2M HILL, Silver Spring, MD (co-authors: P. Pasteris, L. Traynham, C. Salas, T. Ajello, E. Baker)
How Climate Change May Impact Your Stormwater Infrastructure: A Case Study - Indrani Ghosh, Kleinfelder SEA Consultants, Cambridge, MA
A Continental Scale Water Balance Model Planning Tool and Its Application in Projecting Changes in Water Supply Stress Due to Population, Land Use, and Climate Change in the Conterminous U.S. - Peter Caldwell, USDA Forest Service, Raleigh, NC (co-authors: Ge Sun, Steve McNulty, Erika Cohen, Jennifer Moore-Myers)
BASINS Climate Assessment Tool Watershed Modeling Case Studies - Paul Hummel, AQUA TERRA Consultants, Decatur, GA (co-authors: Tom Johnson, John Kittle)
Model Enhancements to Improve Simulations of Stream Flows During Periods of Drought - Cherie Schultz, Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, Rockville, MD (co-authors: Sarah Ahmed, ICPRB)
A Probabilistic Approach to the NRCS Snowmelt-Runoff Model (WinSRM) for Risk Analysis - Jason Lillywhite, GoldSim Technology Group, Issaquah, WA
Tuesday / April 19 / 10:30 AM 12:00 Noon
Concurrent Sessions 11, 12, 13, 14 Energy & Water: Potential Futures - C. Andrew Miller, EPA Office of Air and Radiation, Research Triangle Park, NC (co-authors: Rebecca S. Dodder, Daniel Loughlin, Jeff Yang)
A Geographical Analysis of the Water Footprint of Industrial Demands - Janice Gilbreath, US EPA, Office of Policy, Washington, DC
Energy for Water: Tools for Wastewater Treatment Managers to Reduce Energy Use at POTWs: a discussion of how POTW operators can improve energy efficiency and recovery while reducing their carbon footprint Bonnie Gitlin, EPA Office of Wastewater Management, Washington, DC
Toward Zero Net Emissions at Wastewater Treatment Plants: Three Case Studies - Jason Turgeon, EPA Region 1, Boston, MA
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Risk-Informed Decision Making for Climate Change - J. Rolf Olsen, Institute for Water Resources, US Army Corps of Engineers, Alexandria, VA
Constructing Regional Scenario Narratives to Confront Deep Uncertainty: Methods and Applications - Holly Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Colorado River Basin Supply and Demand Study - Integrated, Long-Term Planning in the Face of Uncertainty - Kathy Freas, CH2M HILL, Albuquerque, NM (co-authors: Armin Munevar, Greg Gates, Phil Pasteris, Les Lampe, Klint Reedy, Terry Fulp, Jim Prairie, Carly Jerla, Bill Rinne)
An Organized Toolbox: Choosing the Appropriate Tools and Methods to Support Iterative Risk Management of Water Resources - Holly Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (co-author: Kiyomi Morino)
The Relationship of Green Infrastructure and Stormwater Quality During Extreme Storm Events in a Changing Climate - Aimee Clinkhammer, Syracuse Center of Excellence, Syracuse, NY (co-authors: Charles Driscoll, George Segre, Mario Montesdeoca, Dimitar Todorov, Lisa Cleckner)
Climate and Land Use Changes Affecting Stormwater Runoff Pollution Control Investments in Impaired Urban Watersheds - Arthur McGarity, Swarthmore College, Swarthmore, PA
Green Stormwater Infrastructure for Water Quality Management and Climate Adaptation - Dwayne Myers, CDM, Singapore (co-authors: Matt Vanaskie, Jim Smullen, Marc Cammarata)
Stormwater Retention Trading in the District of Columbia: A Tool for More Cost Effective Stormwater Management in the Era of Climate Change - Brian Van Wye, District Department of the Environment, Washington, DC (co-authors: Rebecca Stack, Sheila Besse, Jeffrey Seltzer, Phetmano Phanavong, Hamid Karimi)
National Water Balance Model for Current and Future Conditions - Lauren Hay, U.S. Geological Survey, Lakewood, CO (co-authors: Gregory McCabe, Shannon Poole, Steven Markstrom, David Wolock, Nathaniel Booth, Dwight Atkinson)
Using USGS Streamflow and Groundwater Levels to Assess Response to Climate Change in Maryland - Wendy McPherson, U.S. Geological Survey, Baltimore, MD
Application of the Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) and Soil Moisture Analysis Network (SCAN) for assessing water resource conditions and trends in the United States - Michael Strobel, NRCS National Water and Climate Center, Portland, OR (co-authors: Garry L. Schaefer, Tom Perkins, Laurel Grimsted, Tony Tolsdorf, Jim Marron, Jan Curtis, David Garen)
Propagation Drought Characteristics in Weather Genernation Models Related to Climate Change - Nien-Ming Hong, Overseas Chinese University, Taichung, Taiwan (co-author: Yun Ju Chen)
Tuesday / April 19 / 1:30 PM 3:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 15, 16, 17, 18 Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Measures Addressed in Integrated Water-Energy Management - Cat Shrier, Watercat Consulting LLC, Washington, DC
Assessment of Thermoelectric Water Use for Climate-Change Planning - Timothy Diehl, US Geological Survey, Nashville, TN (co-author: Susan S. Hutson)
Living with Uncertainty: Hydroelectric Operations Now and in the Future - Kimberly Pate, Seattle City Light, Seattle, WA (co-author: Mike Haynes)
Improvements in Collection and Dissemination of Federal Thermoelectric-Power-Plant Water-Use Data - Susan Hutson, U.S. Geological Survey, Baltimore, MD (co-author: Tim Diehl)
Climate Resilience Evaluation and Awareness Tool (CREAT): An In-Depth Look at a New Software Application to Assist Drinking Water Utility Owners and Operators In Assessing the Risks Posed By Climate Change at Their Individual Utilities Curt Baranowski, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC
Adapting to Climate Change in Drinking Water Systems: the Role of Vulnerability and Criticality - Anne Choate and Emily Rowan, ICF International, Washington, DC (co-authors: Susan Asam, Peter Schultz, Randall Freed)
Impact of Climate Change in the Boise and Spokane River Basins of the Pacific Northwestern US - Venkataramana Sridhar, Boise State University, Boise, ID (co-author: Xin Jin)
Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Precipitation, Temperature and Streamflow over West of Hudson (WHO) Watersheds - Aavudai Anandhi, CISC, Hunter College, CUNY, New York City, NY (co-authors: Mark S. Zion, Allan Frei, Donald C. Pierson, Elliot M. Schneiderman, Soni, M. Pradhanang, David Lounsbury, Rajith Mukundan, Adao H. Matonse, Yongtai Huang, Nihar Samal, Guoping Tang )
Evaluating Sustainability of Projected Water Demands under Future Climate Change Scenarios - Sujoy Roy, Tetra Tech Inc., Lafayette, CA (co-authors: Limin Chen, Evan Girvetz, Edwin P. Maurer, William B. Mills, Thomas M. Grieb)
Water Demand Impacts of Biofuel Feedstock Production - Noel Gollehon, USDA-NRCS, Washington, DC
Federal Strategies for Improving Water Use Efficiency in the United States - Veronica Blette, U.S. EPA Office of Water, Washington, DC (co-authors: Noel Gollehon, Alan Hoffman, Eric Evenson, Dean Marrone)
Climate Change and Cross Region Water Demand: A GIS Analysis - Valerie Seidel, The Balmoral Group, Maitland, FL (co-authors: Christopher de Bodisco, Paul Yacobellis)
Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Floodplain and Hydrologic Ecotones - Susan Wherry, Portland State University, Portland, OR (co-authors: Hamid Moradkhani, Ruben G. Baird)
Assimilating NASA Soil Moisture and Snow Products for Regional and Global Drought Monitoring - Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD (co-authors: David Mocko, Sujay Kumar)
Streamflow Response to Climate as Influenced by Geology and Elevation - Tim Mayer, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Portland, OR (co-author: Seth Naman)
Scaling Down Climate Change to the Local Level from a GIS Perspective - Jennifer L. Austin, GISP, Kleinschmidt Associates, Pittsfield, ME
Tuesday / April 19 / 3:30 PM 5:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 19, 20, 21, 22
Integrated Water Resource Modeling Development and Application using a Range of Geographic Scales and Methods - Michele Cutrofello, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, NC (co-authors: Robert Dykes, Fekadu Moreda, Brandon Bergenroth)
Climate Change - One More Reason To Change The Way We Manage Water Resources - Carol Collier, Delaware River Basin Commission, West Trenton, NJ
Change in Streamflow in the Susquehanna River Basin and its Implication to Water Resources Planning - Zhenxing Zhang, Susquehanna River Basin Commission, Harrisburg, PA (co-authors: John W. Balay, Andrew D. Dehoff, Robert D. Pody )
Forecasting water demand and climate change in the Potomac River Basin, Washington, DC; Maryland; West Virginia; and Pennsylvania - Olivia Devereux, Potomac River Basin Commission, Rockville, MD
How Conservative are Water Managers? A Method and Case Study of Risk and Risk Preferences in California's Central Valley - Michael Kiparsky, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID (co-author: W. Michael Hanemann)
Characterization of Communities Vulnerable to Climate Change-Induced Changes in Precipitation - Karyn Tabor, Conservation International, Arlington, VA (co-author: Nalini S. Rao)
Institutional Opportunities and Barriers to Climate Adaptation - Kirsten Lackstrom, Carolinas RISA, Columbia, SC
What Water Resources Managers Need to Know About Climate Change Adaptation - Latham Stack, Syntectic International, Portland, OR (co-authors: Michael Simpson, Jim Gruber, Thomas Crosslin, Joel Smith, Robert Roseen)
The Impact of Agriculture on the Micro-Climate of a Peri-Urban Community in New Mexico - Bradley Griggs, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM (co-authors: Zorab Samani, Rhonda Skaggs, Vienn Tran, Leeann DeMouche)
Climate Change and Structural Differences in Agricultural Water Use - Christopher de Bodisco, The Balmoral Group, Maitland, FL (co-authors: Valerie Seidel. Paul Yacobellis)
Preparing Agriculture for Climate Extremes - Nancy Lee, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Regina, SK, Canada (co-authors: Harvey Hill, Monica Hadarits, Shanda Buchanan)
Integrative Approach for Forecasting Water Quality and Quantity Within the Framework of Climate and Land-Use Change in Kansas - Lindsey Witthaus, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS (co-authors: Val Smith, Belinda Sturm, Ed Carney, Rueben Dermyer )
Coping with Uncertainty: Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Streamflows in the Red River of the North Basin - Zhulu Lin, North Dakota State U, Fargo, ND (co-authors: Mohammed Rahman, Andrei Kirilenko)
Response of the Lower Mississippi River to Medium- and Large-Scale Diversions and Sea Level Rise - Clinton Willson, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA (co-author: Erol Karadogan)
Assessing Watershed Response to Global Change under Uncertainty: Lessons from the EPA '20 Watersheds' Study - Jonathan Butcher, Tetra Tech, Research Triangle Park, NC (co-authors: Andrew Parker, Tom Johnson, Chris Weaver)
A Climate Change Decision Support System for Water Managers - Gerald Day, Riverside Technology, Inc., Fort Collins, CO (co-authors: Brian Ashe, Marc Baldo, Ian Schneider)
Wednesday / April 20 / 8:30 AM 10:00 AM
Concurrent Sessions 23, 24, 25
Panel Moderator: Kathleen White
USACE-Institute for Water Resources (IWR)
Panelists
Robert S. Webb, NOAA, Boulder, CO
Nancy Steinberger, FEMA, Denver, CO
David A. Raff, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO
Roger Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO
J. Rolf Olsen, USACE, Alexandria, VA
Karen Metchis, EPA, Washington, DC
Charles Hennig, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO
Earl A. Greene, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA
Levi A. Brekke, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO
Jeff Arnold, USACE, Alexandria, VA
This session will focus on the activities of the Climate Change and Water Working Group (CCAWWG) from 2007 to present. CCAWWG is a working, sustaining example of the mutual benefits of multi-agency collaboration to support the science and actions of climate change adaptation. CCAWWG first explored climate impacts to federal water management and published these as USGS Circular 1331 (2009). The group then examined the various agency needs for climate change information and tools to support long-term planning for water resources. The major federal water operating agencies, US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) and Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation), worked with their internal planners, water operators, and environmental compliance managers to identify the information and tools most relevant to their programs. USACE and Reclamation also solicited other water managers for their perspectives, and presented the results in a 2010 report. The major water science agencies (US Geological Survey, USGS, and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA) are now developing a companion report that will identify the steps necessary to help fill those identified user-needs gaps from their water science perspective. At the same time, CCAWWG also began exploring the critical issue of nonstationarity with respect to hydrologic frequency analyses and water management. An interagency and international workshop in January 2010 resulted in a proceedings (June 2010), with selected papers published in a special issue of the Journal of the American Water Resources Association. CCAWWG also hosted a November 2010 workshop on how to assess the portfolio of approaches that exist for producing climate change information to support adaptation decisions. All of these collaborative activities are influencing the state of water resources climate change analyses and adaptation. For example, the National Science Foundation has used Circular 1331 to guide water-related calls for proposals. The results of the nonstationarity and approaches workshops are informing the development of logical, rational, consistent and legally justifiable approaches to climate change adaptation. Information on these collaborative accomplishments, as well as current activities and future plans, will be presented in this session.
System Dynamics for Climate-Driven Socioeconomic Water Issues - Jae Ryu, University of Idaho, Boise, ID (co-authors: Bryce Contor, Allan Wiley, Gary Johnson, Rick Allen)
Integration, Adaptability, and Paradigmatic Change: Participatory Modeling and Moving Water Systems from Adaptive Planning to Adaptive Management - Stephen Gasteyer, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI
Principles and Best Practices for Involving Stakeholders in Technically-Informed Participatory Decision Support Processes with Examples from the Okanagan Basin, British Columbia, Canada - Stacy Langsdale, Institute for Water Resources, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Alexandria, VA
Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation at the Local Level:Decentralized Water Infrastructure - Opportunities and Challenges - Tamim Younos, The Cabell Brand Center for Global Poverty and Resource Sustainability, Salem, VA (co-author: Sarah Lawson)
Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership: Water Working Group - Ryan Klapperich, University of North Dakota, EERC, Grand Forks, ND (co-authors: Charles D. Gorecki, Jordan M. Bremer, Yevhen I. Holubnyak, Andrea McNemar)
Urban Densification Versus Increased Perviousness: Trade-Offs Between Adaptation and Mitigation in a Changing Climate - Lauren Felker, Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments, Columbia, SC
Responding to Water Shortages due to Climate Change: How much forestry can help? - Ge Sun, USDA Forest Service, Raleigh, NC (co-authors: Peter Caldwell, Steve McNulty)
Wednesday / April 20 / 10:30 AM 12:00 Noon
Concurrent Sessions 26, 27, 28
Understanding the Likelihood of Institutional Adaptation to Climate Change - Christa Brelsford, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ
Climate Change Impacts on Western Water Rights - Gordon McCurry, S.S. Papadopulos & Associates, Boulder, CO
Water Rights Reform as a Prerequisite to Addressing Climate Change & Implementing Adaptive Integrated Water Management - Joelle Hervic, Perry Krumsiek & Jack LLP, Washington, DC
Water Resources Governance A Columbia River Basin Example Gerald Sehlke, Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, ID
Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change and Population Growth on Flood Discharges in the United States - Joseph Kasprzyk, AECOM, State College, PA (co-authors: Joshua B. Kollat, Arthur C. Miller, Wilbert O. Thomas, David Divoky)
Threshold Analysis Approach for Incorporating Climate Change in Central Valley Flood Management Planning - Matthew Young, MWH, Santa Barbara, CA (co-authors: Yung-Hsin Sun, Michael Anderson, Erin Mullin)
Climate Change Risk and Vulnerability Assessment of Flood Control Dams - Ryan Ness, Toronto and Region Conservation Authority, Toronto, ON, Canada (co-authors: Donald Haley, David Lapp)
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Floodplain Delineation - John F. Henz, Dewberry, Aurora, CO
Operation of Delaware River Reservoirs to Meet Competing Uses Under Changing Conditions - Roger Ruggles, Lafayette College, Easton, PA
Defining and Enhancing the Safe Yield of a Multi-Use, Multi-Reservoir Water Supply - Chris Ey, HDR | DTA, Charlotte, NC (co-authors: Mary Knosby, Kevin Mosteller, Barry Gullet)
Climate Change and Managing Dam Hazards in the Christina Basin, Delaware - Jennifer Egan, Duffield Associates, Inc., Wilmington, DE (co-author: Martha Corrozi Narvaez)
Application of a Bayesian Learning Forecasting Model in a Real-Time River Basin Monitoring Network - Andres M Ticlavilca, Utah Water Research Laboratory, Logan, UT (co-authors: Alfonso F Torres, Mac McKee, Inga Maslova)
Wednesday / April 20 / 1:30 PM 3:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 29, 30, 31
East Meets West: The Impact of China's Water Footprint on the U.S. - Lisa Dickson, Kleinfelder/S E A, Augusta, ME
No Other Option - Major Changes to Water Management in the Chinese Capital - Benjamin Fisher, Australian Water Association, Stormwater Industry Association of Australia, Beijing, China (co-authors: Vivian Lee, Stephane Asselin)
Effect of Climate Change on Water Resources Variability in the Yuna Basin, Dominican Republic - Shimelis Setegn, Florida International University, Miami, FL (co-authors: Assefa M. Melesse, Dave Rayner, Francisco Nez)
Assessing Water Adaptations and Determining Coping Ranges to the 2001-2002 Canadian Drought - Grace Koshida, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada (co-authors: Elaine Wheaton, Virginia Wittrock)
Integrated Floodplain-Reservoir Management as an Ecosystem Based Adaptation Strategy to Climate Change - Andrew Warner, The Nature Conservancy, University Park, PA (co-authors: Jeff Opperman, Evan Girvetz, David Harrison, Tom Fry)
Impact of Climate Change on the National Flood Insurance Program: Summary of Methods and Results Nancy Steinberger, FEMA Region VIII, Denver, CO
Analysing High-Intensity, Rainfall-Driven, River Flooding In Port Maria, St. Mary, Jamaica. How Has Climate Change Exacerbated the Situation? - Anuradha Maharaj, Dept. of Geog and Geology, Kingston, Jamaica (co-author: Arpita Mandal)
Implementing Dynamic Operating Rules for Climate Change Adaptation - Ben Wright, Hazen and Sawyer, Baltimore, MD (co-authors: Megan Rivera, Dan Sheer, Ben Stanford)
Predicting Water Quality Changes in Lake Mead Due to Climate Change and Drought - Ronald Zegers, Southern Nevada Water System, Las Vegas, NV (co-authors: Imad Hannoun, Peggy Roefer, Todd Tietjen)
Potential Water Quality Impacts of Climate Change Influencing Reservoir Operations - Joseph Drago, Kennedy/Jenks Consultants, San Francisco, CA
New York City's Operations Support Tool: Implications for Water Supply Management in an Uncertain Future - W. Joshua Weiss, Hazen and Sawyer, PC, Baltimore, MD (co-authors: Grantley W. Pyke, Daniel P. Sheer, Anthony P. Pulokas, James H. Porter)
Wednesday / April 20 / 3:30 PM 5:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions 32, 33, 34
Advent of a Global Warming Drought to the El Paso/Cd. Juarez Transboundary Area - Zhuping Sheng, TAMU, El Paso, TX (co-author: Yi Liu)
Evaluating Climate Change Effects in a Tropical Reservoir with a Two-Dimensional Water Quality Model - Oliver Obregon, Brigham Young University. Civil and Environmental Engineering Dept., Draper, UT (co-authors: Reed E. Chilton, Gustavious P. Williams, E. James Nelson, Jerry B. Miller)
Prospects for International Collaboration in Addressing Climate Change - Alan Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Oklahoma Comprehensive Water Plan: Climate Change and its Impacts on M&I and Agriculture Irrigation Demand - Jessica R. Fritsche, CDM, Carbondale, IL (co-authors: Donielle Jordan, William Davis, Kyle Arthur, Douglas Lilly)
Responding to the Impacts of Climate Change on Wisconsin's Water Resources - Timothy Asplund, Wisconsin Dept. of Natural Resources, Madison, WI (co-authors: Carolyn Betz, James Hurley)
Building Capacity in Wisconsin to Address Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources - Carolyn Betz, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI (co-author: Tim Asplund)
Oregons Water Future Michael Campana, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
Panel Moderator: Jennifer Warner
Water Research Foundation, Denver, CO
Panelists
Ronald Zegers, Southern Nevada Water Authority, Las Vegas, NV
Joseph A. Drago, Kennedy/Jenks Consultants, San Francisco, CA
W. Joshua Weiss, Hazen and Sawyer, Baltimore, MD
Daniel Sheer, HydroLogics, Inc., Columbia, MD
The answer to the question depends on the particular circumstances of an individual utility. For utilities dependent on reservoirs, the answer is very likely to involve investigating Dynamic Reservoir Operations, but is also likely to include demand management, watershed management, and perhaps new facilities. Each panelist will be given a particular "case" utility and asked to prepare a short description of what may and may not be appropriate in that case. The panel will discuss the cases and then open the discussion to the audience at large.
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