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Advancing Water Resources Research and Management

AWRA SYMPOSIUM ON GIS AND WATER RESOURCES
Sept 22-26, 1996
Ft. Lauderdale, FL

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ADAPTIVE SHORT-TERM WATER QUALITY FORECASTS USING REMOTE SENSING AND GIS

Ming-Der Yang (1), Carolyn J. Merry (2), and Robert M. Sykes (3)

Table of Contents

Abstract
Introduction
Study Site and Data Collection
Methodology
--Water Quality Monitoring System
--Water Quality Forecasting System
Results and Disccusion
Conclusions
References
Acknowldegements

Abstract

A major barrier to accurate short-term forecasts is the lack of an efficient system for water quality monitoring. Traditional water quality sampling is time-consuming, expensive, and can only be done for small areas. Remote sensing provides a revolutionary technique to monitor water quality repetitively over a large area. The major concerns regarding the use of remote sensing for water quality monitoring are: 1) suitable spectral channels for deriving various characteristics of water quality variables, and 2) appropriate and efficient image processing techniques to convert image brightness to traditional water quality indices.

The first purpose of this research is to incorporate remote sensing data into a water quality model as a more accurate initial condition. The second purpose is to adapt a geographic information system (GIS) to enhance the contribution of water quality modeling to practical water quality forecasting. The water quality model (QUAL2E) and an image processing and GIS package (ERDAS IMAGINE) were used in a case study of the Te-Chi Reservoir in Taiwan. All water quality variables from simulations are displayed on a geographically registered map and in color to correspond with varying water quality levels. The visualizing technique is helpful for rapid understanding of water quality conditions.

Introduction

Eutrophication caused by the excessive growth of algae is a major water quality problem in water resources. Environmental engineers have been making efforts on monitoring, simulating, and controlling eutrophication for a couple of decades. Various mathematical models have been developed and applied on streams, lakes, and estuaries (e.g. Lung, 1986; Thomann and Mueller, 1987; Kuo and Wu, 1991; Kuo et al., 1994). All water quality models simulate the change based on an initial condition and demands a comprehensive water quality sampling program. However, the conventional measurement of water quality requires in situ sampling and expensive and time-consuming laboratory work. Due to these two limitations, the sample size often cannot be large enough to cover the entire water body. Therefore, the difficulty of overall and successive water quality sampling becomes a barrier to water quality forecasting.

Remote sensing could overcome these constrains by providing an alternative for water quality monitoring over a range of temporal and spatial scales. A number of studies have shown that applications of remote sensing can meet the demand of a large sample over a spatial and temporal view of water quality. Imagery from satellite and aircraft remote sensing systems were used in the assessment of water quality, such as temperature, chlorophyll a, turbidity, and total suspended solids for lakes and reservoirs (Lillesand et al., 1983; Lathrop and Lillesand, 1989; Ritchie et al., 1991), for estuary water bodies (Verdin, 1985; Harding et al., 1995), and for tropical coastal areas (Ruiz-Azuara, 1995).

Most previous studies focused on the discovery of the relationship between remote sensing data and in-situ measurements. To move the application of remote sensing to a practical level, it still remains a task to incorporate water quality modeling with water quality monitoring. Moreover, integrating a geographic information system (GIS) in the system improves the display of the monitoring simulating results rather than using traditional numerical figures. This research is about integrating water quality modeling with remote sensing and GIS techniques to enhance the contribution of water quality modeling in practical water quality management. A short-term water quality forecasting system was developed by using SPOT satellite data, an image processing and GIS package ERDAS IMAGINE, and a water quality model QUAL2E. The specific objectives of this study were to:

Study Site and Data Collection

The study site is Te-Chi Reservoir, located on the upstream part of Ta-Chia River about 1,400 m above sea level in central Taiwan (Figure 1). The Te-Chi Reservoir has a watershed area of 592 km2, and the Te-Chi Dam is operated by the Taiwan Power Company. For this study, the Te-Chi Reservoir referred to hereafter represents a part of the Ta-Chia River. The studied river stretch extends 9.3 km upstream from the dam.

Two decades ago, a part of the Te-Chi Reservoir watershed was developed into an agricultural area for economic purposes. A large amount of nutrients from fertilizers and farm wastes enter into the reservoir and stimulate an excessive algal growth because of the uncontrolled development of orchards and vegetable farms. A eutrophication problem becomes a big concern on the Te-chi Reservoir in the summer, specially in the upper Ta-Chia River. Water samples are taken regularly on a scheduled basis which is a part of long-term water quality monitoring project on Ta-Chia River. Chlorophyll a was measured for five of the 28 water samples taken during 30 and 31 August, 1994 and compared with a SPOT satellite data. The SPOT image were acquired on August 31, 1994 which has a time difference within 24 hours with the time of in situ sampling. There was no significant meteorological change during this 24-hour period. A 500 by 350 subarea image was subset from the original SPOT scene (see Figure 2).

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Figure 1. -- Te-Chi Reservoir's location and watershed.

gif Figure 2. -- SPOT near infrared image of the Te-Chi Reservoir, which was georeferenced in the UTM coordinate and subset from the nominal scene K299/J301 . The darkest area is water.


Methodology

A GIS provides a suitable environment to incorporate water quality models with remote sensing systems. Two alternatives integrating GIS with other systems are the "linked-model" approach and the "modeling-within" approach (Poiani and Bedford 1995). In a linked- model approach, water quality models are separate from GIS, but the models can fully stretch their simulation ability by using this approach. A modeling-within approach, which is simpler, builds a model within the GIS, but the model is confined by the limitations of the GIS numerical capabilities. In this study, a modeling-within model as a water quality monitoring system was established in ERDAS IMAGINE to generate images of the distribution of chlorophyll, Secchi depth, and phosphorus derived from SPOT data. Also, the linked-model approach was used in the water quality forecasting system due to the complexity of water quality simulation.

Water Quality Monitoring System

A water monitoring model was established to extract the water bodies from SPOT images, calculate band ratios, carry out regression models, and display chlorophyll, Secchi depth, and phosphorus in a geographic map. This "modeling-within" model was conducted by the spatial modeler module in ERDAS IMAGINE.

The first step, feature extraction, was to identify the water body and extract this from the image by using unsupervised classification. In this way the water pixels were differentiated from the land pixels. An unsupervised classification was applied on the SPOT band 3 (NIR) image and resulted in a total of 150 categories. By assigning the first class to water throughout the entire image, the water area of the reservoir can be identified. The procedure developed a binary mask layer by renumbering the water pixels as "1" and the rest of the pixels as "0". Afterward, the water body was extracted from the other SPOT bands by multiplying by this mask layer.

With regard to the use of remote sensing in water quality monitoring and modeling, the major concerns are: 1) the suitable spectral channel to match the various characteristics of water quality variables, and 2) the appropriate and efficient image processing to convert image brightness to traditional water quality indices. To cover distinctive spectral characteristics and distinguish the brightness values reflected from plankton and suspended solids, multispectral sensors would be a good choice (Robinson, 1985). Therefore, a band ratio regression model was developed for delineating the water quality conditions by remote sensing monitoring. A band ratio between the near infrared (NIR) and red was suggested to detect chlorophyll in water, due to a positive reflectivity of chlorophyll in the NIR and an inverse behavior in the red (Rundquist et al., 1996). Concordant with the theoretical basis, the correlation matrix shows that the ratio of the red-band to the infrared-band has the highest correlation to chlorophyll. Also, a green/red (XS1/XS2) ratio shows a significant correlation with Secchi depth and phosphorus concentration. These ratios were adopted to derive these three water quality variables from satellite data. The regression model was calibrated by in situ samples, which were collected from the water below 1 m from surface. These samples were correlated to the remote sensing data from SPOT using an average digital value from a 3x3 pixel window centered at the sampling location. A natural logarithmic regression model was developed for chlorophyll a (CHLA), Secchi depth (SD), and phosphorus (PO4) as:

lnCHLA = 9.37 + 10.10 ln XS3/XS2 (1)

lnSD = -3.32 + 4.39 ln XS1/XS2 (2)

lnPO4 = 10.85 - 10.01 ln XS1/XS2 (3)

The regression model is statistically significant (R2 = 0.95, P = 0.005) between the band ratios with chlorophyll and Secchi depth. A lower correlation (R2 = 0.827, P = 0.032) was found for the phosphorus variable. The coefficients in the above equations could vary with different weather and illumination conditions. Also, the regression model could have a bias because chlorophyll was examined only for 5 of 23 samples. Te-Chi Reservoir is more than 40 m depth and the water has a high turbidity, so the reflectance from the bottom sediment was ignored. Atmospheric corrections were not performed on the raw data, due to the clear sky conditions with no visual atmospheric distortions.

Water Quality Forecasting System

In water quality models, a water body is subdivided into many finite segments. All variables are represented as averaged values within a cell, much like a pixel of digital imagery. Chlorophyll a is a representative variable proportional to the concentration of phytoplankton biomass. For each water cell, a mass balance equation for the chlorophyll a is calculated for the changes of inflow, outflow, growth, death, and settling. Because of the complexity and detail requirement of water quality models, a stream numerical model QUAL2E was used to simulate water quality conditions as a "linked-model" and linked with IMAGINE.

The reservoir was divided into 22 reaches, depending on hydraulic characteristics. Each reach consists of small and homogenous elements which are assigned to one of seven different types: including headwater elements, standard elements, elements just upstream from a junction, junction elements, last element in system, input elements, and withdraw elements. Once the initial conditions and environmental parameters were given, QUAL2E calculates the transportation and interactions of pollutants and consequently predicts the changes in algae, nutrient, and temperature for a given time step. Among these initial water quality variables, chlorophyll and nutrient concentrations are the most important concern and were derived from the SPOT image.

In the study, QUAL2E was run for a one-dimensional dynamic simulation that needs meteorological, hydrological, and biological data inputs. Water flow was obtained by hydrologic monitoring stations; cell area and volume were defined in advance for the simulation; and death rate and settling rate of phytoplankton were set as a constant value because of their steady influences on the model. Thus, the factor dominating algal growth is the growth rate of algae which is limited by several environmental factors, such as light intensity, nutrients, and temperature. The meteorological data of the Te-Chi Reservoir, including temperature, wind, and atmospheric pressure, which was recorded by the Taiwan Power Company, were input to QUAL2E to simulate the environment for algal growth. Because a significant stratification occurred in the Te-Chi Reservoir during the summer, only about a 10-m depth layer of water from the surface was embraced in the one-dimensional dynamic simulations. The water body was divided into 93 computational elements, which took a lateral average of all water quality variables. All 93 elements belong to one of 22 reaches in which the computational elements have the same biological rates and the same hydrogeometric properties, such as stream slope, cross section, flow, and velocity. Each element has a length of about 100 m (5 pixels on the SPOT image) and a cross width the same as the river width ranging from 80 m to 600 m. Each element was identified as a specific type, depending on its position and function in the model. The upstream section of the Ta- Chia River located near the Shuon-Mou Creek was treated as a headwater source element, because of its major contribution of flow. The rest of the seven tributaries were treated as point sources, which are input elements in the model. The attributes of each reach, such as cross width, surface area, and constants in hydraulic functions were tabulated in IMAGINE. A six-day water quality forecast resulted from the simulation by giving a steady pollution source with a chlorophyll a of 340 mg/L and phosphorus of 35 mg/L, which was the water quality condition at the head water derived from the SPOT image.

These simulated results were converted to images and displayed in IMAGINE. The images were smoothed by a 7x7 low pass filter to remove the sharp difference between elements, then were overlaid with a land- only background layer. Consequently, geo-registered thematic images were created for water quality variables. The final product from this study also includes a movie-like sequence of images.

Results and Discussion

To convert digital values of the SPOT images to recognizable water quality variables, a regression model was developed in the water quality monitoring system. The relationships between satellite digital values and water quality variables were studied to reveal the best fit of band ratios to the optical characteristics of a water body's constituents. Concordant with the theoretical deduction, the correlation matrix showed that band ratios and water quality indices to eutrophic status are highly correlated, even though a high bias could occur due to the small sample size in this study. A ratio of XS3/XS2 was adopted for chlorophyll and XS1/XS2 was selected for Secchi depth and phosphorus. A time discrepancy between satellite detection and concurrent surface reference sampling can cause a small error. This problem cannot be completely avoided because in situ sampling is time-consuming, particularly for a large water body. However, the Te-Chi Reservoir is a slow-moving river (ranging from 0.01 to 0.005 m/s) and a stable meteorological condition occurred between image acquisition and water quality sampling, so bio-chemical reactions could have only a slight variation within 24 hours. Besides the regression model, other GIS operations, such as feature extraction, band ratio calculation, and image creation were developed into an automatic water quality monitoring system in IMAGINE. This automatic system was executed on an Silicon Graphics work station and took only 1 minute and 45 seconds, compared with several days of laboratory work for traditional water quality monitoring approach. In the future, as long as the image can be acquired from satellite transmission, the water quality condition could be instantaneously reported by the system.

The remote sensing-derived water quality thematic layers were overlaid with a gray-scale SPOT image as a geographic background. Figure 3 shows that high chlorophyll concentrations appeared in the upper stream reaches and reduced in the lower reaches of Te-Chi Reservoir. This was caused by a large amount of nutrients released from the watershed having an intense farming activity. In Figure 4, Secchi depth had an inverse distribution with chlorophyll a. Same as our understanding, a high concentration of nutrient is accompanied by a low Secchi depth (or high turbidity) and algae bloom. The eutrophic state of the reservoir is clearly illustrated by these thematic maps.

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Figure 3. -- Satellite-derived thematic map of chlorophyll distribution at the Te-Chi Reservoir on August 31, 1994.

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Figure 4. -- Satellite-derived thematic map of Secchi depth distribution at the Te-Chi Reservoir on August 31, 1994.

Furthermore, the water quality model QUAL2E was linked with the monitoring system as a water quality forecasting system. The system is a "linked-model" due to the complexity of numerical computations in water quality modeling. Water quality variables were transferred from IMAGINE to QUAL2E as initial conditions, and the simulated results were transferred back for display in IMAGINE. Every single water quality variable was presented in an individual thematic layer and in color (in gray tone in this paper) to correspond with varying different levels. Figure 5 shows the algae variation during the six days following August 31, 1994. In the fourth and sixth-day images, it was discovered that the algae bloom was extending to the down stream reaches under a steady pollution source. Moreover, these images can be displayed as movie-like dynamic pictures by time sequence. The new visualization technology helps users to perceive the progression of water quality easily and impressively.

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Figure 5a. -- The scond-day forecast of algal distribution

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Figure 5b. -- The fourth-day forecast of algal distribution

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Figure 5c. -- The sixth-day forecast of algal distribution

Figure 5. -- Sequential pictures of simulated algal distribution at the Te-Chi Reservoir since August 31, 1994.

Conclusion

Conventional field investigations of water quality takes a long time, particularly for pollution of non-point sources over a large area. Therefore, comprehensive field sampling is used very infrequently. To fill the gap when no samples are taken and to maintain a periodic real-time water quality forecast, SPOT satellilte imagery was shown to be an efficient tool in the study. Moreover, by integrating GIS with the combined system, the simulated results were presented in two-dimensional thematic maps and in dynamic sequential images. The visualizing technique is helpful for rapid understanding of water quality conditions. Since a complete model has been built, it is low-cost to quickly answer "what-if" questions when meteorological condition or pollution sources change.

References

Harding, L. W., E. C. Itsweire, and W. E. Esalas, 1995. Algorithm Development for Recovering Chlorophyll Concentrations in the Chesapeake Bay Using Aircraft Remote Sensing, 1989-91. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 61(2):177-185.

Kuo, J. T., J. H. Wu, and W. S. Chu, 1994. Water Quality Simulation of Te-Chi Reservoir Using Two-dimensional Models. Wat. Sci. Tech 30(2):63-72.

Kuo, J. T., and J. H. Wu, 1991. A Nutrient Model for a Lake with Time- variable Volumes. Wat. Sci. Tech 24(6):133-139.

Lillesand, T. M., W. L. Johnson, R. L. Deuell, O. M. Lindstrom, and D. E. Meisner, 1983. Use of Landsat Data to Predict the Trophic State of Minnesota Lakes. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 49(2):219-229.

Lathrop, R. G., and T. M. Lillesand, 1989. Monitoring Water Quality and River Plume Transport in Green Bay, Lake Michigan with SPOT-1 Imagery. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 55(3):349- 354.

Lung, W. S., 1986. Assessing Phosphorus Control in the James River Basin. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 112(1):44-60.

Ritchie, J. C., and C. M. Cooper, 1991. An Algorithm for Estimation Surface Suspended Sediment Concentrations with Landsat MSS Digital Data. Water Resources Bulletin, 27(3):373-379.

Robinson, I. S., 1985. Satellite Oceanography: An Introduction for Oceanographers and Remote-sensing Scientists. Ellis Horwood Limited, Chichester, England, 455pp.

Poiani, K. A. and B. L. Bedford, 1995. GIS-based Nonpoint Source Pollution Modeling: Considerations for Wetlands, Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 49(6):613-619.

Rundquist, D. C., L. Han, J. F. Schalles, and J. S. Peake, 1996. Remote Measurement of Algal Chlorophyll in Surface Waters: The Case for the First Derivative of Reflectance Near 690 nm, Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 62(2):195-200.

Ruiz-Azuara, P., 1995. Multitemporal Analysis of "Simultaneous" Landsat Imagery (MSS and TM) for Monitoring Primary Production in a Small Tropical Coastal Lagoon. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 61(2):877-198.

Verdin, J. P., 1985. Monitoring Water Quality Conditions in a Large Western Reservoir whit Landsat Imagery. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 51(3):343-353.

Thomann, R. V. and J. A. Mueller, 1987. Principles of Surface Water Quality Modeling and Control. Harper & Row, Publishers, Inc., New York, 644 pp.

Acknowledgements

We appreciate the suggestions for water quality modeling at the Te-Chi Reservoir from Dr. J. T. Kuo in the Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University. Purchase of the SPOT imagery was made possible by the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science and the College of Engineering, The Ohio State University.

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Authors

1. Ming-Der Yang
Graduate student in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science The Ohio State University
Room 416, Hitchcock Hall, 2070 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210
Email: myang@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu

2. Carolyn J. Merry
Proffesor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science
The Ohio State University
Room 416, Hitchcock Hall, 2070 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210
Email: merry@cfm.ohio-state.edu

3. Robert M. Sykes
Proffesor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science
The Ohio State University
Room 416, Hitchcock Hall, 2070 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210

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